{"id":94223,"date":"2016-11-14T09:01:50","date_gmt":"2016-11-14T08:01:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/batijournal.com\/?p=94223"},"modified":"2019-07-15T12:03:58","modified_gmt":"2019-07-15T10:03:58","slug":"scenario-travaux-publics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/batijournal.com\/index.php\/scenario-travaux-publics\/94223\/","title":{"rendered":"Quel sc\u00e9nario pour les travaux publics ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Bruno Cavagn\u00e9, Pr\u00e9sident de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration Nationale des Travaux Publics, a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 un exercice de prospective sur 5 ans, pour \u00e9clairer les entreprises du BTP soucieuses de visibilit\u00e9, et pour interpeller les candidats \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle. Deux sc\u00e9narios s&rsquo;opposent.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Un sc\u00e9nario noir part de l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une baisse des d\u00e9penses publiques de 100 MD\u20ac sur le prochain quinquennat. Les cons\u00e9quences sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise d\u2019un nouveau repli de l\u2019investissement public en infrastructures seraient dramatiques : poursuite de la d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration de la qualit\u00e9 de nos infrastructures, incapacit\u00e9 \u00e0 mener dans les d\u00e9lais les grands projets, du plan fibre au Grand Paris en passant par Seine Nord ou Lyon-Turin&#8230; La cons\u00e9quence sur les entreprises de Travaux Publics serait \u00e9galement dramatique : une r\u00e9cession continue qui aboutirait \u00e0 faire descendre de 13% le chiffre d\u2019affaires de la profession \u00e0 moins de 33 milliards d\u2019euros et \u00e0 supprimer 35 000 emplois.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019alternative serait un sc\u00e9nario permettant de r\u00e9investir la France. Il implique que l\u2019Etat se dote des moyens pour r\u00e9aliser les projets qu\u2019il a annonc\u00e9, avec un budget de l\u2019AFITF (Agence de financement des infrastructures de transport) en hausse progressive pour atteindre 2,8 Md\u20ac en 2021 et des grands op\u00e9rateurs dont l\u2019investissement monte en puissance et acc\u00e9l\u00e8re en fin de p\u00e9riode (Grand Paris, grands projets europ\u00e9ens, investissements des concessionnaires autoroutiers). Il sous-entend \u00e9galement que l\u2019investissement des Collectivit\u00e9s locales soit favoris\u00e9 de fa\u00e7on \u00e0 ce que l\u2019on puisse conna\u00eetre un cycle \u00e9lectoral comparable aux pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents. Ce sc\u00e9nario est d\u2019une ambition toute relative puisqu\u2019il ne permet qu\u2019un rattrapage partiel du retard pris depuis 10 ans et le lancement de projets n\u00e9cessaires \u00e0 la comp\u00e9titivit\u00e9, la coh\u00e9sion et la transition \u00e9cologique. Il permet d\u2019atteindre en fin de quinquennat le niveau d\u2019investissement n\u00e9cessaire pour les infrastructures tels que d\u00e9finis dans les rapports MEDEF \u00abLes infrastructures de r\u00e9seaux au service de la croissance \u00bb et FNTP \u00ab Croissance verte : investir dans les infrastructures pour r\u00e9ussir la transition \u00e9cologique \u00bb : un niveau d\u2019investissement sup\u00e9rieur de 8 \u00e0 10 MD\u20ac \u00e0 ce qu\u2019il est actuellement. Ce sc\u00e9nario aboutirait \u00e0 une croissance moyenne annuelle du secteur de 4% l\u2019an sur la p\u00e9riode. Il g\u00e9n\u00e9rerait 35 000 emplois suppl\u00e9mentaires dans les entreprises de Travaux Publics et 96 000 emplois dans l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019\u00e9conomie (source OFCE \u2013 novembre 2016).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bruno Cavagn\u00e9, Pr\u00e9sident de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration Nationale des Travaux Publics, a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 un exercice de prospective sur 5 ans, pour \u00e9clairer les entreprises du BTP soucieuses de visibilit\u00e9, et pour interpeller les candidats \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle. Deux sc\u00e9narios s&rsquo;opposent. Un sc\u00e9nario noir part de l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une baisse des d\u00e9penses publiques de 100 MD\u20ac sur le [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":94224,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10736,10530,6345],"tags":[1255,7987,480],"class_list":["post-94223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-actualites","category-economie-marches","tag-btp","tag-fntp","tag-travaux-publics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Quel sc\u00e9nario pour les travaux publics ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/batijournal.com\/index.php\/scenario-travaux-publics\/94223\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quel sc\u00e9nario pour les travaux publics ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bruno Cavagn\u00e9, Pr\u00e9sident de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration Nationale des Travaux Publics, a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 un exercice de prospective sur 5 ans, pour \u00e9clairer les entreprises du BTP soucieuses de visibilit\u00e9, et pour interpeller les candidats \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle. Deux sc\u00e9narios s&rsquo;opposent. Un sc\u00e9nario noir part de l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une baisse des d\u00e9penses publiques de 100 MD\u20ac sur le [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/batijournal.com\/index.php\/scenario-travaux-publics\/94223\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Batijournal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-11-14T08:01:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-07-15T10:03:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/batijournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/btp-scenario.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"499\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"St\u00e9phane Miget\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@bati_journal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@bati_journal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"St\u00e9phane Miget\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/batijournal.com\\\/index.php\\\/scenario-travaux-publics\\\/94223\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/batijournal.com\\\/index.php\\\/scenario-travaux-publics\\\/94223\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"St\u00e9phane Miget\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/batijournal.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dc96ec6957aa1ccb25ebe78bb19f100\"},\"headline\":\"Quel sc\u00e9nario pour les travaux publics ?\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-11-14T08:01:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-07-15T10:03:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/batijournal.com\\\/index.php\\\/scenario-travaux-publics\\\/94223\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":416,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/batijournal.com\\\/index.php\\\/scenario-travaux-publics\\\/94223\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/batijournal.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/11\\\/btp-scenario.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"BTP\",\"fntp\",\"travaux publics\"],\"articleSection\":[\"A la Une\",\"Actualit\u00e9s\",\"\u00c9conomie &amp; 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